Potential Impact of Middle East War on 2024 Election: Why the Republican Candidate Could Face Defeat

If America goes to war in the Middle East, and it lasts for months, with other actors such as Iran, Turkey, Syria, Russia, and China also entering the war, the Republican candidate might likely lose the 2024 presidential election as the country unites behind their leader to fight a common foreign enemy.

This is because if that happens, media attention will be entirely focused on the war, pushing domestic issues such as corruption probes and anything else into the background.

Last week, President Biden approved the potential deployment of 2,000 US troops and visited Israel. A ground invasion might prompt Iran and others to enter the war, leading the US to defend Israel. From that point on, no one knows what would happen.

The military-industrial complex would make a lot of money, and the war would leave the world worse off, but the country would unite behind the person in power. This would be unfortunate for conservatives who expected Trump to win in 2024 for many reasons.

Many conservatives still remember how everyone said Trump was going to start World War 3 or at least trigger a nuclear war and totally destabilize the world as we knew it! However, Trump spent four long years in office without starting any new wars. Peace even seemed to rapidly advance in the Middle East with the Abraham Accords Declaration signed between Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain on September 15, 2020.

Right now, there is a war in Europe between Russia and Ukraine, which, by extension, involves NATO and the United States since the money, weapons, and technology come from there. There is also a war in the Middle East that might expand very rapidly, with images of dead civilians being broadcast in the Arab world. If that happens, the United States might intervene to help Israel.

This is happening at a time when Russia, China, Iran, and the rest have strengthened ties and might fight on the same side. If the war in the Middle East expands and China invades Taiwan, will the US go to war against China and then Russia, Iran, and the rest at the same time? I don't know. What I am saying is that the world is now more unstable under Joe Biden than when Trump was in power, and attempts to spin the false narrative that Trump is praising the terrorists or hates Israel are completely false.

Anyone who witnessed atrocities by Hamas in Israel on October 7 knows that what happened there was horrific. Not everyone has to explicitly post that 'I condemn Hamas' or 'I denounce Hamas.' It's well known that most people are against terrorists, mass killers, and criminals of all sorts. Most people also understand that Israel has the right to protect its people, defend itself, and retaliate.

However, as I have repeated on X many times, in retaliating, the mission should be clear, and civilians should not pay for the sins of the terrorists. The question is, if this escalates as it might, what would be the role of the US? Would the US send troops? Will this lead to a regional and global war? I don't know. But everyone can see that the world is now more unstable than it was just a few years ago.